Has something changed in College BBALL?

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I have used a value/technical system for years in College bball and have never had a losing season. This year I am getting killed I have lost 14 straight best bets. I usually play dogs that have underperformed early in the season, against teams that have played over their heads early in the season, but this year the teams that played shitty early are still playing shitty and the surprise teams are still playing great. Is this just a short term trend or am I in trouble?
 

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